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  • 2024年拉丁美洲最佳客户服务经纪商奖

    Finance Magnates 颁发

  • 2024年全球最佳客户服务经纪商奖

    Finance Magnates 颁发

  • 全球最佳客户服务奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    COLWMA 2024年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇客户服务奖

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023最佳外汇客户服务奖

  • 欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 中东最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023中东最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 2023年全球最佳客户服务奖

    CFI.co于2023年颁赠

  • 最佳差价合约服务商

    荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳加密货币差价合约奖

    荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳客户服务奖

    CFI.co于2022年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇交易服务奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳外汇教育经纪商

    2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠

  • 最佳交易经验奖

    Ultimate Fintech 2021年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2021年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳客户服务经纪商

    FX168于2020年12月颁赠

  • 全球最佳客户服务

    荣获Global Business Awards 2020

  • 2020年最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2020年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 2019年全球最佳客户服务奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠

  • 2019年全球最佳市场研究和教育奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳外汇客户服务

    Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018

  • 最佳市场调研与教育

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠

  • 2017年最佳交易经纪商

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠

  • 2017年最佳外汇服务商

    2017年伦敦财富管理奖

  • Brokers Billboard 2016

    2016最佳本土 客户服务

  • 2016投资与金融博览会

    中东和北非地区(MENA)增长最快的经纪商

  • Brokers Billboard 2015

    2015年最佳外汇科技提供商

  • 2014博览展销会

    2014年最佳外汇科技提供商

  • 投资金融博览会

    2014年最佳外汇科技提供商

  • 中东和北非地区最佳合作伙伴计划

    荣获 The Trading Show 2024年非洲 Africa Fintech 峰会颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳隔夜利息奖

    荣获2024年中东地区 Brokersview 颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳交易稳定性奖项

    荣获2024年中东地区 Brokersview 颁赠

  • 中东和北非最佳社交交易平台

    荣获2024年阿曼 Smart Vision 峰会颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳代理/代理项目经纪商

    荣获2024年迪拜外汇博览会颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳合作伙伴转换计划

    荣获2024年迪拜 Forex Traders Summit 颁赠

  • 最佳价值经纪商

    2024年埃及 Smart Vision 峰会颁赠

  • 全球十大平台公益评选

    投查查于2024年颁赠

  • 全球最佳外汇经纪商奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠

  • 2023年全球最公正透明经纪商

    CFI.co于2023年颁赠

  • 2023年全球最佳交易经纪商

    CFI.co于2023年颁赠

  • 2022年度最受欢迎交易商Top 10

    交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2022年颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳差价合约经纪商

    2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳免息账户

    2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠

  • 年度全球外汇经纪商奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 最佳信用经纪商

    CFI.co于2022年颁赠

  • 最公正透明经纪商

    CFI.co于2022年颁赠

  • 欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发

  • 澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发

  • 拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发

  • 中东最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发

  • 2021年最受欢迎交易商

    交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠

  • 最佳代理计划

    2021年埃及Smart Vision Investment Expo博览会获颁赠

  • 最公正透明经纪商

    CFI.co于2021年颁赠

  • 最佳信用经纪商

    CFI.co于2021年颁赠

  • 全球最受信任外汇经纪商奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 年度全球外汇经纪商奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance 2021颁发

  • 澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance 2021颁发

  • 最受欢迎交易商 Top 10

    FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠

  • 最佳零售外汇经纪商

    Global Forex Awards 2021 — B2B 颁赠

  • 年度全球外汇经纪商奖

    Global Forex Awards颁赠

  • 欧洲最佳外汇代理计划

    Global Forex Awards颁赠

  • 全球最佳信用经纪商

    CFI.co于2020年颁赠

  • 全球最公正透明经纪商

    CFI.co于2020年颁赠

  • 全球最佳在线差价合约与外汇经纪商

    荣获Global Business Awards 2020

  • 2020年欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

    World Finance Magazine 颁赠
    World Finance Forex Awards 2020

  • 2020澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖

    World Finance Magazine 颁赠
    World Finance Forex Awards 2020

  • 2019年成长最快的经纪商

    FOLLOWME交易社区授予

  • 年度全球外汇经纪商奖

    Global Forex Awards颁赠

  • 亚洲最受信任外汇经纪商奖

    Global Forex Awards颁赠

  • 最佳经纪商

    FinTech Age Awards颁发

  • 2019欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

    World Finance Magazine 颁赠
    World Finance Forex Awards 2019

  • 2019澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖

    World Finance Magazine 颁赠
    World Finance Forex Awards 2019

  • 2018年欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2018 颁赠

  • Egypt Economic Forum获得MENA地区最佳国际经纪商奖

    荣获2018年埃及金融博览会颁赠

  • 最佳执行外汇经纪商

    荣获 Shares Magazine 的 UK Forex Awards 2017 颁赠

  • 2017年欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2017

  • 2016年行业佼佼者

    2016年最佳黄金经纪商

  • 2016年行业佼佼者

    2016年最佳外汇经纪商

  • Brokers Billboard 2015

    2015年最佳本地客户服务

  • 2024年全球最全面外汇交易应用程序奖

    Global Brands Magazine 颁赠

  • 2022年最佳外汇交易平台

    Online Money Awards 2022 颁发

  • 最佳APP奖

    荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠

  • 国际投资金融博览会

    2015最佳外汇交易平台

  • 2015博览展销会

    2015最佳金融交易平台

  • 2013中东和北非地区第12届外汇秀

    2013最佳创新外汇平台奖

  • 银牌奖项|2020年新冠肺炎(COVID-19)人资计划 - 照常运营类别

    2020年 Cyprus HR Awards 颁赠

  • 金融业界 World Finance 100 强

    金融行业的佼佼者

  • 人资管理与开发

    认证最优金牌级别

  • 足球邀请赛

    2014年首届亚军

  • 2024年拉丁美洲最佳客户服务经纪商奖

    Finance Magnates 颁发

  • 2024年全球最佳客户服务经纪商奖

    Finance Magnates 颁发

  • 全球最佳客户服务奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    COLWMA 2024年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇客户服务奖

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023最佳外汇客户服务奖

  • 欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 中东最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023中东最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 2023年全球最佳客户服务奖

    CFI.co于2023年颁赠

  • 最佳差价合约服务商

    荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳加密货币差价合约奖

    荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳客户服务奖

    CFI.co于2022年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇交易服务奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳外汇教育经纪商

    2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠

  • 最佳交易经验奖

    Ultimate Fintech 2021年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2021年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳客户服务经纪商

    FX168于2020年12月颁赠

  • 全球最佳客户服务

    荣获Global Business Awards 2020

  • 2020年最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2020年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 2019年全球最佳客户服务奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠

  • 2019年全球最佳市场研究和教育奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2019年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳外汇客户服务

    Shares Magazine 授予 UK Forex Awards 2018

  • 最佳市场调研与教育

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠

  • 2017年最佳交易经纪商

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co)颁赠

  • 2017年最佳外汇服务商

    2017年伦敦财富管理奖

  • Brokers Billboard 2016

    2016最佳本土 客户服务

  • 2016投资与金融博览会

    中东和北非地区(MENA)增长最快的经纪商

  • Brokers Billboard 2015

    2015年最佳外汇科技提供商

  • 2014博览展销会

    2014年最佳外汇科技提供商

  • 投资金融博览会

    2014年最佳外汇科技提供商

  • 中东和北非地区最佳合作伙伴计划

    荣获 The Trading Show 2024年非洲 Africa Fintech 峰会颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳隔夜利息奖

    荣获2024年中东地区 Brokersview 颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳交易稳定性奖项

    荣获2024年中东地区 Brokersview 颁赠

  • 中东和北非最佳社交交易平台

    荣获2024年阿曼 Smart Vision 峰会颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳代理/代理项目经纪商

    荣获2024年迪拜外汇博览会颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳合作伙伴转换计划

    荣获2024年迪拜 Forex Traders Summit 颁赠

  • 最佳价值经纪商

    2024年埃及 Smart Vision 峰会颁赠

  • 全球十大平台公益评选

    投查查于2024年颁赠

  • 全球最佳外汇经纪商奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠

  • 2023年全球最公正透明经纪商

    CFI.co于2023年颁赠

  • 2023年全球最佳交易经纪商

    CFI.co于2023年颁赠

  • 2022年度最受欢迎交易商Top 10

    交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2022年颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳差价合约经纪商

    2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳免息账户

    2022年迪拜Forex Expo获颁赠

  • 年度全球外汇经纪商奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 最佳信用经纪商

    CFI.co于2022年颁赠

  • 最公正透明经纪商

    CFI.co于2022年颁赠

  • 欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发

  • 澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发

  • 拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发

  • 中东最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance Forex Awards 2022 颁发

  • 2021年最受欢迎交易商

    交易社区平台FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠

  • 最佳代理计划

    2021年埃及Smart Vision Investment Expo博览会获颁赠

  • 最公正透明经纪商

    CFI.co于2021年颁赠

  • 最佳信用经纪商

    CFI.co于2021年颁赠

  • 全球最受信任外汇经纪商奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 年度全球外汇经纪商奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2021 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance 2021颁发

  • 澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商

    World Finance 2021颁发

  • 最受欢迎交易商 Top 10

    FOLLOWME于2021年颁赠

  • 最佳零售外汇经纪商

    Global Forex Awards 2021 — B2B 颁赠

  • 年度全球外汇经纪商奖

    Global Forex Awards颁赠

  • 欧洲最佳外汇代理计划

    Global Forex Awards颁赠

  • 全球最佳信用经纪商

    CFI.co于2020年颁赠

  • 全球最公正透明经纪商

    CFI.co于2020年颁赠

  • 全球最佳在线差价合约与外汇经纪商

    荣获Global Business Awards 2020

  • 2020年欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

    World Finance Magazine 颁赠
    World Finance Forex Awards 2020

  • 2020澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖

    World Finance Magazine 颁赠
    World Finance Forex Awards 2020

  • 2019年成长最快的经纪商

    FOLLOWME交易社区授予

  • 年度全球外汇经纪商奖

    Global Forex Awards颁赠

  • 亚洲最受信任外汇经纪商奖

    Global Forex Awards颁赠

  • 最佳经纪商

    FinTech Age Awards颁发

  • 2019欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

    World Finance Magazine 颁赠
    World Finance Forex Awards 2019

  • 2019澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖

    World Finance Magazine 颁赠
    World Finance Forex Awards 2019

  • 2018年欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2018 颁赠

  • Egypt Economic Forum获得MENA地区最佳国际经纪商奖

    荣获2018年埃及金融博览会颁赠

  • 最佳执行外汇经纪商

    荣获 Shares Magazine 的 UK Forex Awards 2017 颁赠

  • 2017年欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获 World Finance Forex Awards 2017

  • 2016年行业佼佼者

    2016年最佳黄金经纪商

  • 2016年行业佼佼者

    2016年最佳外汇经纪商

  • Brokers Billboard 2015

    2015年最佳本地客户服务

  • 2024年全球最全面外汇交易应用程序奖

    Global Brands Magazine 颁赠

  • 2022年最佳外汇交易平台

    Online Money Awards 2022 颁发

  • 最佳APP奖

    荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠

  • 国际投资金融博览会

    2015最佳外汇交易平台

  • 2015博览展销会

    2015最佳金融交易平台

  • 2013中东和北非地区第12届外汇秀

    2013最佳创新外汇平台奖

  • 银牌奖项|2020年新冠肺炎(COVID-19)人资计划 - 照常运营类别

    2020年 Cyprus HR Awards 颁赠

  • 金融业界 World Finance 100 强

    金融行业的佼佼者

  • 人资管理与开发

    认证最优金牌级别

  • 足球邀请赛

    2014年首届亚军

  • 2024年拉丁美洲最佳客户服务经纪商奖

    Finance Magnates 颁发

  • 2024年全球最佳客户服务经纪商奖

    Finance Magnates 颁发

  • 全球最佳客户服务奖

    Capital Finance International Magazine (CFI.co) 2024年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    COLWMA 2024年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇客户服务奖

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023最佳外汇客户服务奖

  • 欧洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023欧洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023澳大拉西亚最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023拉丁美洲最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 中东最佳外汇经纪商

    荣获World Finance Forex Awards 2023中东最佳外汇经纪商奖

  • 2023年全球最佳客户服务奖

    CFI.co于2023年颁赠

  • 最佳差价合约服务商

    荣获2023年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳加密货币差价合约奖

    荣获2022年埃及金融博览会颁赠

  • 最佳外汇服务商

    荣获2022年City of London Wealth Management Awards

  • 最佳客户服务奖

    CFI.co于2022年颁赠

  • 最佳外汇交易服务奖

    荣获Global Forex Awards 2022 — 零售外汇 颁赠

  • 中东和北非地区最佳外汇教育经纪商

    2021年迪拜外汇博览会获颁赠

  • 最佳交易经验奖

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【XM Group】--Weekly Forex Forecast – NZD/USD, AUD/JPY, S&P 500 Index, NASDAQ 100 Index, Silver, Gold, Platinum, Palladium

Risk Warning:

The purpose of information release is to warn investors of risks and does not constitute any investment advice. The relevant data and information are from third parties and are for reference only. Investors are requested to verify before use and assume all risks.

Hello everyone, today XM Forex will bring you "【XM Group】--Weekly Forex Forecast – NZD/USD, AUD/JPY, S&P 500 Index, NASDAQ 100 Index, Silver, Gold, Platinum, Palladium". I hope it will be helpful to you! The original content is as follows:

Fundamental Analysis & Market Sentiment

I wrote on the 5th October that the best trades for the week would be:

  • Long of the S&P 500 Index. This fell by 2.69% over the week.
  • Long of the NASDAQ 100 Index. This fell by 3.06% over the week.
  • Long of Gold. This rose by 3.22% over the week.
  • Long of Silver. This rose by 4.54% over the week.

    These trades produced an overall gain of 2.01%, equal to 0.50% per asset.

    A summary of last week’s most important data (some US releases were postponed due to the ongoing government shutdown in the USA):

  • US Preliminary UoM Inflation Expectations – this came in at 4.6%, slightly lower than last month’s 4.7%, but still much higher than the current rate of inflation, which is concerning many analysts.
  • US Preliminary UoM Consumer Sentiment – this was a bit higher than expected, showing a bit more optimizing on the side of US consumers.
  • FOMC Meeting Minutes – there was nothing noteworthy, markets barely reacted to the release.
  • Reserve Bank of New Zealand Policy Meeting – this produced a surprisingly deep rate cut of 0.50%, while the market was expecting at most only a 0.25% cut, which sent the NZD/USD currency pair to a new 6-month low price.
  • Canadian Employment Change – an unexpectedly strong new jobs increase of 60k was recorded. This helped the Canadian Dollar gain a bit against some other currencies after the data release on Friday.
  • Canadian Unemployment Rate – the rate unexpectedly fell from 7.2% to 7.1%.

    Last week can be pided into two very different segments. Firstly, from the weekly open until just a few hours before the market closed Friday, it was a story of continuation, with stock markets and precious metals rising quite steadily to fresh highs, in most cases, to new all-time highs. Then President Trump tweeted his extreme displeasure at China, threatening to call off his upcoming meeting with Chinese Leader Xi due to what he referred to as China announcing restrictions on its exports of rare earths, which are an essential xmyoume.component for many US tech xmyoume.companies. President Trump stated that in retaliation he will impose a new 100% tariff on all imports from China starting on 1st November, presumably in the hope of hammering out some xmyoume.compromise with China over the rare earths.

    The news that we are back in tariff war territory between the US and China sent stocks and risky assets tumbling everywhere, producing dramatic reversals in the market, especially in the US stock market, whose major indices fell by about 3%. This puts a lot of trends into question and unless some xmyoume.compromise is found between the US and China on this issue, we could see very strong moves in the market over the xmyoume.coming days and some wild volatility. The issue is xmyoume.compounded by the fact that markets in the USA will be closed tomorrow (Monday) due to the Columbus Day holiday.

    The only trend that survived the Trump tweet is the bullish trend in precious metals, with Gold and Silver recovering to trade above $4,000 and $50 per ounce respectively. Both precious metals reached new all-time highs last week.

    There was little else that was noteworthy last week, except for the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s deeper than expected rate cut of 0.50%, which sent the Kiwi lower. The Trump tweet really hammered the Australian and New Zealand Dollars, which can be expected to be the hardest-hit currencies in the even the US imposes any new tariffs on China. The Japanese Yen saw a recovery on the Trump threat, as a safe-haven currency, but it was the weakest currency over the week.

    A potentially indefinite ceasefire in the Middle East was announced last week, which boosted the Israeli Shekel, and may have contributed to risk-on sentiment globally a little.

    The Week Ahead: 13th– 17th October

    The xmyoume.coming week might see more activity in the market, but this will almost certainly be due to the new tariff war between the USA and China, as there are few high-impact data events scheduled for the xmyoume.coming days.

    This week’s most important data points, in order of likely importance, are:

  • US PPI
  • US Retail Sales
  • US Unemployment Claims
  • UK GDP
  • Australian Employment Change
  • Australian Unemployment Rate

    It is a public holiday in the USA, Canada, and Japan on Monday.

    Monthly Forecast October 2025

    【XM Group】--Weekly Forex Forecast – NZD/USD, AUD/JPY, S&P 500 Index, NASDAQ 100 Index, Silver, Gold, Platinum, Palladium(图1)

    For the month of October 2025, I forecasted that the EUR/USD currency pair would rise in value. Its performance so far this month is shown in the table below.

    【XM Group】--Weekly Forex Forecast – NZD/USD, AUD/JPY, S&P 500 Index, NASDAQ 100 Index, Silver, Gold, Platinum, Palladium(图2)

    Weekly Forecast 12th October 2025

    I made no weekly forecast last week.

    Although there were notably larger price movements in the Forex market last week xmyoume.compared to recent weeks, there were still no unusually large price movements in currency crosses last week, so I have no weekly forecast this week.

    The US Dollar Japanese Yen was the strongest major currency last week, while the Japanese Yen was the weakest. Volatility was higher xmyoume.compared to the previous last week, with 30% of major pairs and crosses changing in value by more than 1%.

    Next week’s volatility is quite likely to increase, unless Friday’s tariff threat by President Trump against China is quickly neutralised.

    You can trade these forecasts in a real or demo Forex brokerage account.

    Technical Analysis

    Key Support/Resistance Levels for Popular Pairs

    【XM Group】--Weekly Forex Forecast – NZD/USD, AUD/JPY, S&P 500 Index, NASDAQ 100 Index, Silver, Gold, Platinum, Palladium(图3)

    US Dollar Index

    Last week, the US Dollar Index printed a bullish candlestick with a significant upper wick. However, what is most significant here is the fact that the price has still been unable to hold up above the key resistance level at 98.60. If we do eventually get a breakout above this level by the US Dollar, we have already seen a real bottom put in so this could be the start of a major long-term upwards trend. Despite being below its level of 26 weeks ago, the price is above where it was 13 weeks ago, so by my preferred metric, I can declare the long-term bearish trend is over. This places the US Dollar in an interesting position.

    The Dollar may take a hit over the xmyoume.coming days if China does not back down over its proposed rare earth export restrictions in the face of President Trump’s 100% China tariff threat, but this situation is producing much more movement in other currencies such as the Australian and New Zealand Dollars (heavily linked to the Chinese economy) and the Japanese Yen (the current haven currency of choice).

    【XM Group】--Weekly Forex Forecast – NZD/USD, AUD/JPY, S&P 500 Index, NASDAQ 100 Index, Silver, Gold, Platinum, Palladium(图4)

    NZD/USD

    The NZD/USD currency pair fell strongly last week, reversing massively on Friday after rising earlier in the week on President Trump’s tariff threat. The Kiwi is beset by several problems that together have made it extremely weak:

  • The bigger than expected rate cut last week by the RBNZ of 0.50%.
  • Trump’s tariff threat, which will hurt Chinese exports, and New Zealand is highly exposed to the Chinese economy.
  • The poor performance of the New Zealand economy, which is currently seeing a strongly contracting GDP.

    On the other side of this pair, the US Dollar – it might take a hit due to the tariff dispute, but this is likely to be a much weaker fall than we will see in the Kiwi while the dispute goes on.

    Technically, the weekly candlestick looks very bearish – large, reaching a new 6-month low, and closing very near the low of its range.

    This pair does not tend to trend very reliably, but there are forces pushing it down in the face of a new tariff on China, so day traders especially have reason to be interested in this currency pair. The NZD/JPY currency cross might work even better.

    【XM Group】--Weekly Forex Forecast – NZD/USD, AUD/JPY, S&P 500 Index, NASDAQ 100 Index, Silver, Gold, Platinum, Palladium(图5)

    AUD/JPY

    The AUD/JPY currency cross weekly chart printed a large, bearish pin bar, which closed right on the low of its range. These are bearish signs. The Australian Dollar was hit extremely hard by President Trump’s China tariff threat, more than any other currency, as Australia exports so much to China. So, we can expect the Aussie to be very sensitive to the issue, and to shoot higher if it is resolved.

    Technically, we see some support even if the bearish fundamentals remain, as the price has reached a congestion area after giving up its gains from earlier in the week.

    The Japanese Yen is also likely to rebound if the tariff situation is resolved.

    This is probably the best currency cross to use to trade the US/China tariff dispute, with the AUD a great proxy for China and risk appetite in general, and the Japanese Yen’s current status as the number one haven currency.

    【XM Group】--Weekly Forex Forecast – NZD/USD, AUD/JPY, S&P 500 Index, NASDAQ 100 Index, Silver, Gold, Platinum, Palladium(图6)

    S&P 500 Index

    After rising to new all-time highs earlier in the week, the S&P 500 Index plummeted by almost 3% in the last few hours of Friday’s trading, wiping out the past three weeks of gains, after President Trump announced he would be imposing a new 100% tariff on Chinese imports die to their proposed restrictions on rare earth exports, which are vital to the American and global tech industry. Another concern bubbling away in the background is whether the American stock market is in an artificial intelligence bubble, as the major indices valuations have become heavily centered on just a few tech xmyoume.companies which are mostly focusing on AI.

    We might see further strong falls if this US/China standoff is not resolved very quickly. After several months of very strong gains, the US stock market looks vulnerable to a sudden crash. Further falls when the US market opens on Tuesday might knock out trend followers from their longstanding long positions in major US equity indices.

    If the dispute is resolved, expect a fast and strong recovery, but I have a gut feeling we will not see fresh highs soon.

    There may be opportunities here over the xmyoume.coming days either long or short for more experienced traders, while novices might do better to sit this one out, although investors might want to reduce long positions in these stocks if the dispute deepens.

    There is one note of hope for bulls – the two major stock markets open at the time of writing (a Sunday) in Saudi Arabia and Israel, are seeing gains or holding steady. Of course, both markets have strong local factors helping buying, but it is a potentially positive sign.

    【XM Group】--Weekly Forex Forecast – NZD/USD, AUD/JPY, S&P 500 Index, NASDAQ 100 Index, Silver, Gold, Platinum, Palladium(图7)

    NASDAQ 100 Index

    Everything I wrote above about the S&P 500 Index also applies to the NASDAQ 100 Index, but even more so, because the stocks making up this index are even more sensitive to the US/China dispute and the need for rare earth imports. This index fell by more than 3% late Friday, but it only wiped out the last 2 weeks of gains.

    Just as in the S&P 500 Index, there can be opportunities xmyoume.coming here for more experienced traders, to try to day trade short as long as the dispute deepens, but to be ready to go long quickly if it is resolved.

    【XM Group】--Weekly Forex Forecast – NZD/USD, AUD/JPY, S&P 500 Index, NASDAQ 100 Index, Silver, Gold, Platinum, Palladium(图8)

    XAG/USD

    Silver had yet another great week, showing yet another outsize rise in value of more than 4%, and finally making a new record high above $51 which exceeded the Hunt Brothers high of 1980. It also outperformed Gold and all other precious metals except Palladium. These are bullish signs, as is the breakout from the linear regression analysis shown within the price chart below – the price is well above the upper bound.

    There are also reports that a strong short squeeze is ongoing, with concerns over how much Silver bullion is available to holders of short positions.

    With Silver’s outperformance against Gold, it is probably worth being bold on the long side here.

    Having said, if you are just entering a new long trade here, as the move is quite extended, a smaller position size might be wise. Volatility is high, so a strong downwards movement is possible when the retracement finally xmyoume.comes.

    I remain very bullish on Silver but worry that it may xmyoume.come crashing down – this is how big short squeezes tend to end. Trading the trend with a trailing stop is a good answer to this dilemma if you do it systematically. How high it might go now that we have seen a weekly close above $50 into blue sky is anyone’s guess.

    【XM Group】--Weekly Forex Forecast – NZD/USD, AUD/JPY, S&P 500 Index, NASDAQ 100 Index, Silver, Gold, Platinum, Palladium(图9)

    XAU/USD

    Gold rose again last week, by more than 3%, to rise to print a new all-time high, closing above the big round number at $4,000. Silver also closed above $50, which is another bullish factor for precious metals in general.

    The long-term bullish trend and break to new record highs are bullish factors, and the fact that precious metals including Gold held up Friday despite the stock crash when Trump threatened huge new tariffs on China is also bullish – and intriguing.

    For anyone who is only entering a long trade now, it might be wise to use a smaller position size to account for any sudden high-volatility snapback towards lower prices. You must wonder how much further this bull run will last – but it is backed by a very strong long-term bullish trend, and you trade against that at your peril unless you start to see clear signs of a reversal in the price action – which is not showing here yet.

    I remain bullish on Gold, but it might be wise to take a smaller long position here than would be usual for you.

    【XM Group】--Weekly Forex Forecast – NZD/USD, AUD/JPY, S&P 500 Index, NASDAQ 100 Index, Silver, Gold, Platinum, Palladium(图10)

    Platinum

    Platinum rose last week to a new multi-year high price, but the daily chart below shows that it sold off quite firmly (compared to the other precious metals) towards the end of last week, and this was well before President Trump’s tariff threat.

    This suggests that Platinum is not the best choice of precious metals to be long of right now, but it is often a good idea to be persified when you are trading trends, so it is worth paying attention here. The strong bullish trends in Gold and Silver back this reasoning, as the asset class overall in a strong trend.

    I think that entering a new long trade could be a good idea if we get another long-term high New York close, above $1,666.

    If your broker does not offer Platinum, and Platinum futures are too big for you, there is a Platinum ETF offering exposure (PPLT).

    【XM Group】--Weekly Forex Forecast – NZD/USD, AUD/JPY, S&P 500 Index, NASDAQ 100 Index, Silver, Gold, Platinum, Palladium(图11)

    Palladium

    Palladium rose last week to a new multi-year high price, and the daily chart below shows that it made only a small bearish retracement on Thursday and Friday after its meteoric rise of over 9% on Wednesday.

    This suggests that Platinum is a good choice of precious metal to be long of right now, but I would like to see another break to a fresh high in the New York close before entering a new long position. The strong bullish trends in Gold and Silver and the asset class of precious metals reinforce my bullishness.

    I think that entering a new long trade could be a good idea if we get another long-term high New York close, above $1,468.

    If your broker does not offer Palladium, and Palladium futures are too big for you, there is a Palladium ETF offering exposure (PALL).

    【XM Group】--Weekly Forex Forecast – NZD/USD, AUD/JPY, S&P 500 Index, NASDAQ 100 Index, Silver, Gold, Platinum, Palladium(图12)

    Bottom Line

    I see the best trades this week as:

  • Long of Silver.
  • Long of Gold.
  • Long of Platinum following a daily (New York) close above $1,666.
  • Long of Palladium following a daily (New York) close above $1,468.

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